Polymarket Trader

OctavevandenBosch

0x04bcc5ede55bca41af165fe8101993a3bf78a01a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.13
Realized PnL: $181.03
Win rate: 78.9%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $23.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $226.75
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $56.78
Potential payout: $145.77
Potential profit: $88.99
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $6.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.09
Potential profit: $59.09
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $55.76
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$13.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $7.26
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

France position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.39

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Ivan Perišić: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 77.7% 114.11 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

55.6% 26.62 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

49.1% 60.16 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

99.2% 55 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

99.2% 8.73 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 63.3% 23.7 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

68% 8.73 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 26% 57.69 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?

Yes 13% 17.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Down 1% 500 shares