Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $131.42
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $10.69
Polymarket Trader
Rifter
0x04c30228da9e4346a2dd4e958499dfb81aef9a7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $190.18
- Realized PnL
- $1.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.55
- Potential profit
- $52.55
- User PnL
- -$32.05
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $35.4
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $21.33
- Potential payout
- $34.13
- Potential profit
- $12.8
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $23.76
- Potential profit
- $15.56
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.28
N
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.7
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.08
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $81.39
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.79
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.83
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.47
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.58
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.84
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.26
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.78
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.5% 1,622.91 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.3% 1,374 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.9% 755.66 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.9% 78.24 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.9% 77.9 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.9% 52.51 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 45% 4.34 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 85% 5.31 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 92% 12.34 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 93% 6.02 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 65% 10.63 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 59% 5.55 shares