Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $284.85
- Potential payout
- $7.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.75K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$312.98
Polymarket Trader
MelonMusk69
0x04d5de32ec01c89038b286f69d510b0bad52188f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- $735.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.91K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $59.74
- Potential payout
- $796.53
- Potential profit
- $736.79
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$110.99
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $111.7
- Potential payout
- $166.72
- Potential profit
- $55.02
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $127
- User PnL
- -$18.15
Yes position
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $31.6
- Potential payout
- $121.54
- Potential profit
- $89.94
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $100.85
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $98.18
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $67.8
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $7.74
Y
Yes position
Will Mike Collins win the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election by 10–15%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $77.68
- Potential payout
- $80.08
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $27.55
Yes position
Will Drake be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $33.66
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $32.34
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $59.97
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $11.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Current value
- $43.85
- Potential payout
- $54.4
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $11.37
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.8%
- Current value
- $15.9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.1
- Multiplier
- 3.14x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $35.66
- Potential payout
- $45.43
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $39.74
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $7.64
No position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $29.94
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.14
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $31.89
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Yes position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $16.33
- Potential payout
- $30.52
- Potential profit
- $14.19
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $25.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.27
Yes position
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $53.61
No position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.54
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
No position
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.16
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
No position
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $19.62
No position
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- $7.37
No position
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.81x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes 54% 10 shares
- Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 73% 10 shares
- Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes 76.1% 10.04 shares
- Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes 29.4% 10 shares
- Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes 30.4% 10 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 78% 10 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 70% 10 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No 73% 10 shares
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No 48.4% 5.89 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 10 shares
- Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes 83% 10 shares