Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.85
- Potential profit
- $228.85
- User PnL
- -$56.54
Polymarket Trader
0x04dAA91547ebC38D65D50BA230368BC4885f5f04-1730854810296
0x04daa91547ebc38d65d50ba230368bc4885f5f04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.8
- Realized PnL
- $897.69
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $26.8
- Potential payout
- $137.42
- Potential profit
- $110.62
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$73.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.9
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.43
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.81
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$103.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$148.08
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$332.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 13% 50.28 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 28% 178.57 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 11.3% 116.82 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 12.7% 66.13 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 37.8% 66.14 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 21.4% 116.82 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 19% 263.16 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 38% 131.58 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 72.8% 137.42 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 37% 135.14 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 10% 400 shares
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks 8% 312.5 shares