Polymarket Trader

tinylonglong

0x04dcf8d1328b2bf5fa6e7aa8a200df95751cd572

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $197.75
Realized PnL: $5.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.79
Potential payout: $43.83
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $9.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $25.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $14.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 79.1%
Current value: $28.24
Potential payout: $35.7
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.97
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.93
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.97
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $34.75
Potential profit: $30.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $31.68
Potential payout: $32.99
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $30.26
Potential payout: $30.8
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $29.83
Potential profit: $24.86
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $29.64
Potential profit: $29.61
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$7.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $25.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.73
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or higher on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.95
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.38
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.95
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 4°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $17.38
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $8.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $193.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?

Yes 1.2% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 1?

Yes 0.6% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?

Yes 2% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1?

Yes 0.3% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 1?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1?

Yes 7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares