Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $17.82
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $26.18
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Polymarket Trader
SatoshiFan87
0x04e3dfc8a8f5d76e02a3d0c33d9753c072d4c6c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.82
- Realized PnL
- $83.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 19, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Up position
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 12AM ET
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 9AM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Pistons position
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Solana above $150 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
$POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10AM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin March 18-24?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 22% 8.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 11?No 68.9% 16.12 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 11?No 51% 5.48 shares
- Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 52.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 7?No 76% 4.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?No 67.7% 28.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 6?No 65% 30.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?No 64% 30.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?Yes 34% 18.41 shares
- Timberwolves vs. PistonsPistons 61% 10.66 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp 51% 10.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1PM ETUp 51% 18.82 shares