Polymarket Trader

jblk

0x04ed966c5b9d4d53d32bab105800ae1ac32b172a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $151.32
Realized PnL: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

HULIGANI position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $49.96
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $29.47

No position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $16.24
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $33.74
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $35.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $6.1

HULIGANI position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $25.38
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $12.15

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.25
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.65

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $5.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.55

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

Yes position

Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.19

Team Nemesis position

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

Team Nemesis position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.61

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.01

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

LGD Gaming position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner

HULIGANI 75% 10 shares
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Team Bald 32% 30 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 84% 10 shares
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 15.5% 50 shares
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Team Refuser 27.8% 40 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

MOUZ 45% 20 shares
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Virtus.pro 37% 30 shares
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner

illwill 17% 40 shares
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner

Team Heretics Academy 55% 20 shares
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64% 20 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 71% 20 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64% 20 shares