Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $26.03
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $110.96
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$73.97
Polymarket Trader
laax
0x04f8597c3493b623921ccd1641a04509641ea062
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $899.51
- Realized PnL
- $101
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $117.31
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $17.31
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $110
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $108.37
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.37
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $23.12
- Potential payout
- $112.23
- Potential profit
- $89.11
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$76.88
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $100.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $101.63
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $7.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.38
- Potential profit
- $107.38
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $103.46
- Potential payout
- $106.5
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105.37
- Potential payout
- $105.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $103.67
- Potential payout
- $103.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $54.95
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Up position
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Up position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 59.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 89.1% 77.11 shares
- Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes 11.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 71% 32.78 shares
- Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?Up 91% 16.48 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Macron out by June 30, 2026?No 96.5% 103.67 shares
- Will France strike Iran by March 31?No 85% 117.6 shares
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes 73% 136.99 shares
- Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?Up 96.4% 10.37 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 89.1% 112.23 shares