Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.73K
- Potential payout
- $363.78K
- Potential profit
- $361.05K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$909.45
Polymarket Trader
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0x0509d64aac136cbc253b7e208e4bacfe6c786e98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.75K
- Realized PnL
- $106.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.06K
- Potential profit
- $20.06K
- User PnL
- -$16.12K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $14.33K
- Potential payout
- $15.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $809.04
- Potential payout
- $12.45K
- Potential profit
- $11.64K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
No position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.04K
- Potential payout
- $10.14K
- Potential profit
- $96.29
- User PnL
- $131.36
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.02K
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $75.75
- User PnL
- $52.41
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105.94
- Potential payout
- $10.09K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $125.62
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$169.92
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $254.6
- Potential payout
- $10.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.77K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$18.61
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $8.36K
- Potential payout
- $9.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $8.91K
- Potential payout
- $9.04K
- Potential profit
- $131.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $68.62
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $636.87
- Potential payout
- $8.92K
- Potential profit
- $8.28K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $242.2
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $8.57K
- Potential profit
- $6.66K
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $754.57
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $8.17K
- Potential payout
- $8.41K
- Potential profit
- $239.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $133.34
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $97.93
- Potential payout
- $7.83K
- Potential profit
- $7.74K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $7.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.84K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$177.23
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.76K
- Potential payout
- $6.75K
- Potential profit
- $981.41
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$434.74
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.61K
- Potential payout
- $6.73K
- Potential profit
- $114.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $69.24
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $154.16
- Potential payout
- $6.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.41K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$19.42
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $55.04
- Potential payout
- $6.47K
- Potential profit
- $6.42K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$18.69
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $6.04K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $287.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$57.74
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $299.93
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$64.93
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $497.99
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- $21.18
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $60.63
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02K
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.66K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $8.19K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $6.72K
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.74K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 61% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 97.7% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 97.7% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 97.7% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 97% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No 96.8% 200 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.8% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 23% 20 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 71% 272.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 70% 300 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 72% 5,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 74.6% 300 shares