Polymarket Trader

Fredericac

@kaleena_lyn

0x051d8bc5552bfaa3df20486f17723981a8515f90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.85
Realized PnL: $160.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $107.42
Potential payout: $126.37
Potential profit: $18.96
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.57
Potential profit: $31.57
User PnL: -$18.01

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $30.38
Potential profit: $24.46
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$20.08

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $8.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.42
Potential profit: $5.42
User PnL: -$3.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.97

No position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.93

No position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Ducks position

Kraken vs. Ducks

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

No 47% 8.51 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91% 126.37 shares
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 98.3% 22.91 shares
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Yes 85.6% 30.38 shares
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Yes 84% 25 shares
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Yes 94.4% 63.55 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 75% 29.33 shares
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Yes 84.7% 11.81 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 57.1% 31.57 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 92% 97.83 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 16.66 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 91.6% 22.54 shares