Polymarket Trader

rvw

@eightpal1881

0x05231321edd30daa2c5494c0a4d6b7130692ace5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $389.21
Realized PnL: $3.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $247.58
Potential payout: $301.93
Potential profit: $54.35
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$115.5

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$27.75

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$34.5

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Joblife Win Emea Challengers Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $44.7
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.9
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $40.8
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $19.2
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $36.03
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.3
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$9.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jaguars position

Jaguars vs. Colts

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $801.85

No position

Will Everton vs. Wolves end in a draw?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.87

Texans position

Colts vs. Texans

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.31

Broncos position

Buccaneers vs. Broncos

Ends Sep 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.72

Rays position

Rays vs. Angels

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.16

Twins position

Twins vs. Tigers

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.99

Vikings position

Packers vs. Vikings

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122

Yes position

Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.95

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.55

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.75

Aces position

WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.85

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Up position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 57.7% 50 shares
Will Empoli achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?

Yes 0.1% 94.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Yes 32.1% 44.44 shares
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

Yes 41% 75.25 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

No 96% 50 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 64% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 72% 100 shares
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 96% 50 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$60k 63% 279.16 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 58% 50 shares
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

No 70% 8.02 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$60k 68% 100 shares