Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $7.07
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
Glimmerveil
0x0525c45b5107b340ed2810bc8d8c4fcf913dcc41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.6
- Realized PnL
- $3.35
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Brazil position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$28.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 75% 26.67 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil 49% 2,061.22 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 1,285.34 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.1% 1,285.35 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 93% 143.75 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 80% 143.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No 60% 32.34 shares