No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.24K
- Potential profit
- $48.24K
- User PnL
- -$24.88K
Polymarket Trader
77603dad7edbb9a2775c529
0x052c6312a485d494f4b0b0bed1b834c09bd85a0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $477.56
- Realized PnL
- $133.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.12K
- Potential profit
- $41.12K
- User PnL
- -$22.63K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.47K
- Potential profit
- $10.47K
- User PnL
- -$7.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.85K
- Potential profit
- $6.85K
- User PnL
- -$3.76K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- User PnL
- -$3.07K
Yes position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
Ends Aug 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Bill Clinton confirmed pedophile by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 2?
Ends Aug 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$770
Yes position
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $57m and $62m?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$48
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $641.03
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $418.9
- Potential profit
- $418.9
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.77
- Potential profit
- $374.77
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $322.22
- Potential payout
- $322.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $178.22
No position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.11
- Potential profit
- $181.11
- User PnL
- -$31.4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - August 22, 5PM ET
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.93
- Potential profit
- $158.93
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $155.34
- Potential payout
- $158.67
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $55.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.29K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.65K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.86K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.94K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 2.2% 83,691.96 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 50.4% 7,216.94 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 83% 4,381.78 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 48% 171.43 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 80% 4,560.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 50.2% 9,084.92 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 63.4% 5,588.12 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 61.5% 11,787.91 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.3% 7,369.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No 72% 4,361.56 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?No 72% 6,113.11 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.3% 7,670.7 shares