Polymarket Trader

vcf

0x052df1e126aa8ed14e80fcbe9bfcc491c33bf67d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $175.46
Realized PnL: $150.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.07
Potential profit: $95.07
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $62.09
Potential payout: $71.41
Potential profit: $9.32
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.72
Potential profit: $41.72
User PnL: -$12.1

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $31.58
User PnL: -$12

Twisted Saints Esports position

Valorant: Coalesce vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.22
Potential profit: $31.22
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.13
Potential payout: $25.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.73

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $13.22
Potential payout: $23.4
Potential profit: $10.18
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.17
Potential payout: $23.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $20.97
Potential payout: $21.86
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.41
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.9
Potential profit: $13.9
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.78
Potential profit: $13.78
User PnL: -$10.2

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $10.47
Potential payout: $13.53
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.39
Potential profit: $13.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

BNK FEARX position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $12.05
User PnL: -$10

No position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.82
Potential profit: $11.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

No position

Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

No position

Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 73.9% 13.53 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 91.5% 21.86 shares
Will France win Eurovision 2026?

No 86.3% 23.17 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84.3% 71.41 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

No 89% 11.24 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

BNK FEARX 83% 12.05 shares
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

No 81% 12.35 shares
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

No 29% 41.72 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

No 92% 10.87 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Yes 76% 25.26 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

No 85.8% 23.55 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 14?

No 99.9% 5,005 shares