Polymarket Trader

4ever3.

0x054c8d9965d24ac97a4e9dc5fd061fb80b82ae95

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.2
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.05
Potential profit: $568.05
User PnL: -$490

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $23.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.72
Potential profit: $9.72
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $9.3
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.22
Potential profit: $8.22
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $3.76
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6
Potential profit: $6.6
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.46
Potential profit: $6.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.81
Potential profit: $4.81
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.56
Potential profit: $4.56
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 49% 8.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 55% 2.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 5.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 82% 2.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 37% 8.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 8.1% 5.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 33.4% 5.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 5.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 5% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 90.8% 6.55 shares