Polymarket Trader

Arsosal

0x055d50e8679c7f1c3099c1b9b8d30d64e43a245d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4K
Realized PnL: $7.98K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $72.85
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$21.15

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $115.04
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $297.96
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.39K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $53.97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $185.09
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $21.09

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $288.15
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.4K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$128.84

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $344.29
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.34K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$11.71

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $639.26
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.04K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$114.73

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $587.52
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $58.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $549.68
Potential payout: $4.68K
Potential profit: $4.13K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $142.69

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $861.33
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $32.33

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $63
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.6K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$35

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$948.8

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.5
Potential profit: $627.5
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05K

Under position

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $592

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.83

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$28.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 73% 342.47 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Over 64% 2,343.75 shares
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Brazil 51% 2,884.61 shares
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Brazil 52% 2,884.62 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 60.9% 821.17 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Vitality 60.4% 742.46 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Vitality 62.3% 1,283.6 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Vitality 57% 389.54 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Vitality 31.9% 627.5 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 63% 3,969.08 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 66% 2,575.76 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Aurora Gaming 63% 1,600 shares