Polymarket Trader

iForgor

@iForgor_PM

0x0562e01b3c3e65bb93bf0de32f02cec238a79d66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.07K
Realized PnL: $111.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.16K
Potential payout: $25.3K
Potential profit: $21.14K
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: -$261.21

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $899.98
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.1K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$3.18K

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $667.26
Potential payout: $18.53K
Potential profit: $17.87K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$1.41K

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $12.36K
Potential profit: $10.19K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $472.68

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45.33
Potential payout: $10.07K
Potential profit: $10.03K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$710.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $665
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.34K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$195

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.89K

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $3.46K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1.99K

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $280
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.72K
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$43.97

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $381.3
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $5.82K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $66.95

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $44.54
Potential payout: $5.57K
Potential profit: $5.52K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$303.28

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $691.92
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $76.88

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $719.99
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.28K
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$326.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$98.14

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $615
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.38K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$255

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $150
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$623.92

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $293.18
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $317.24
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $38.35

No position

Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$303.49

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $22.9

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$20.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.85K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21K

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

Yes position

Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.6K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.26K

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 14.3% 5,000 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 6% 300 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 4% 35 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15.4% 5,169.42 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 67.1% 2,613.91 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 68% 600 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 28.7% 5,575.53 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 2,578.95 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 12% 9,921.63 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 41.7% 357.02 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.9% 3,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 71.4% 1,000 shares