Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $16.56
- Potential payout
- $45.38
- Potential profit
- $28.82
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
larsonbethany
0x0565687a78104ac6231fa4faf807fa3db43c72e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.56
- Realized PnL
- $104.13
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tulsa position
Oregon State vs. Tulsa
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Kings
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Bucks
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Army position
Temple vs. Army
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?Yes 42% 45.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?Yes 34% 6.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?Yes 34% 31.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?No 41.2% 31.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?Yes 34.3% 17.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?Yes 35% 26.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?Yes 37.3% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?Yes 43% 45.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 17?Yes 47% 12.64 shares
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsLas Vegas Aces 59% 22.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?Yes 35% 23.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13?Yes 37% 15.89 shares