No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $274.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $46.5
Polymarket Trader
opus28
0x057512b4df4f97f2f572152f3c3e5515b9235199
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.53K
- Realized PnL
- $569.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $146
- Potential payout
- $146
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $131.08
- Potential payout
- $144.85
- Potential profit
- $13.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.98
- Potential profit
- $110.98
- User PnL
- -$84
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $104.17
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $28.7
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $66.96
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $55.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $55.37
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $56.04
- Potential payout
- $56.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $53.58
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $53.25
- Potential payout
- $53.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $50.27
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $50.79
- Potential payout
- $52.28
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.91
- Potential payout
- $50.72
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.91
Y
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $40.3
- Potential payout
- $46.05
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $41.47
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $41.1
- Potential payout
- $43.96
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $41.16
- Potential payout
- $42.33
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.16
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.62
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.41
No position
Canada recession in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.47
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
French election called by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?No 84% 23 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?No 84% 23 shares
- Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?No 82% 13.92 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No 84% 20 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?No 83% 24 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No 83% 24 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?No 83% 12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 20 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 86.5% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No 59% 10 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No 64% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 59% 50 shares