shadymanu

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$51.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$136.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$159.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$167.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$186

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$112

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $991.2
Potential profit: $991.2
User PnL: -$135.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $827.6
Potential profit: $827.6
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $604.65
Potential profit: $604.65
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.14
Potential profit: $566.14
User PnL: -$31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.71
Potential profit: $384.71
User PnL: -$41.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.3
Potential profit: $344.3
User PnL: -$23.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.14
Potential profit: $313.14
User PnL: -$59.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.83
Potential profit: $299.83
User PnL: -$20.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.81
Potential profit: $294.81
User PnL: -$107.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.92
Potential profit: $279.92
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $176.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?