zkturing

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $3.93K
User PnL: -$3.15K

No position

Democratic sweep?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.64K
User PnL: -$600.09

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $163.99
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $94.23

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$202.44

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $902.8
Potential profit: $902.8
User PnL: -$57.75

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$203.42

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $861.49
Potential profit: $861.49
User PnL: -$363.19

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$324.51

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690.89
Potential profit: $690.89
User PnL: -$375.59

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $654.91
Potential profit: $654.91
User PnL: -$150.45

No position

Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $618.83
Potential profit: $618.83
User PnL: -$76.88

No position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565
Potential profit: $565
User PnL: -$171.9

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.89
Potential profit: $531.89
User PnL: -$39.93

Yes position

Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.6
Potential profit: $524.6
User PnL: -$15.71

No position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.64
Potential profit: $519.64
User PnL: -$325.03

No position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.26
Potential profit: $501.26
User PnL: -$350.53

No position

Will American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.06
Potential profit: $471.06
User PnL: -$188.05

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.71
Potential profit: $402.71
User PnL: -$100.94

No position

Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.82
Potential profit: $360.82
User PnL: -$43.73

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345.17
Potential profit: $345.17
User PnL: -$24.16

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.88
Potential profit: $344.88
User PnL: -$89.67

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.47
Potential profit: $319.47
User PnL: -$9.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.64

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.86

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.23

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $478.75

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.03

No position

Zohran Mamdani Parlay

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.3

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.48

No position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.17

No position

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.95

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.49

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.95

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.47

No position

Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.39

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.58

No position

Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.36

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.3

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

No position

Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.56

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.81

No position

Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.46

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?