Yes position
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.06
- Potential profit
- $164.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
casus
0x058327e8fec1fdf218c4c2c20f3a30db18887dd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.39
- Potential profit
- $106.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.5
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.7
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.98
Yes position
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.84
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.78
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.57
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.61
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.62
Yes position
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.88
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.8
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 80 and 85?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?No 99.8% 1,045.61 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes 96.9% 528.08 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?No 99.7% 1,003.01 shares
- Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 99.8% 26 shares
- Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 99.8% 26 shares
- Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 99.8% 26 shares
- Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 99% 645.15 shares
- Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No 98.8% 6.13 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?No 47% 106.39 shares
- Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?Yes 30.5% 164.06 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No 93.3% 13 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?No 95% 60 shares