No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $14.83K
- Potential payout
- $19.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
Inchoroi
0x058f48b0fe2901214215aa53edf2ead7505c4883
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.34K
- Realized PnL
- $8.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $11.88K
- Potential profit
- $10.04K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $9.04K
- Potential payout
- $11.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $51.18
No position
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $5.59K
- Potential payout
- $9.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$714.66
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.93K
- Potential profit
- $7.93K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $6.27K
- Potential payout
- $7.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $498.7
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $6.06K
- Potential payout
- $6.16K
- Potential profit
- $95.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $521.48
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $735.47
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $4.52K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $55.46
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $121.31
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $3.89K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $132.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $201.93
No position
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $3.42K
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $466.36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $24.32
- User PnL
- $209.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $522
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $292
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $363
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $648.99
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $901.77
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $60.78
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $821.89
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $945.62
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$345.34
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $241.1
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.44
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $47.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.23
No position
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $889.38
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $304.42
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $54.63
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $27.89
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $57.62
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $975.38
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.52
No position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $916.69
- Potential payout
- $947.48
- Potential profit
- $30.79
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $26.35
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $771.13
- Potential payout
- $896.67
- Potential profit
- $125.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$28.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.6
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.49
No position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.66
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $361.95
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $355.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $341.23
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $251.28
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $236.8
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.83
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $223.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.28
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $192.49
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
No position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.26
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.96
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.85
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $142.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $132.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $126.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $112.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99.2% 255.89 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99.1% 449.94 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes 99.6% 92.89 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 51% 245.69 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 50.9% 41.29 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 36% 2.78 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 35.2% 28.41 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 50,000 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 41.5% 24.12 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 35% 57.14 shares