Polymarket Trader

Papelazo

0x0594736df8edb63e6a6ea259e4fdad66183211ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.19
Realized PnL: -$1.6
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.06
Potential profit: $117.06
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $21.78
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.17
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $10.89
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.46

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29?

Down 11% 9.09 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 1.6% 25 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 8% 25 shares
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Yes 18.4% 10.89 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Yes 9% 22.22 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 8.6% 23.26 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 50% 4 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?

Up 32% 3.13 shares
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?

Yes 1.7% 117.06 shares
Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares