No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.03K
- Potential profit
- $11.03K
- User PnL
- -$692.5
Polymarket Trader
SeniorLaghetto
@Bambardini
0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.84K
- Realized PnL
- $776.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.75K
- Potential payout
- $10.75K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $7.81K
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $312.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.18K
- Potential profit
- $10.18K
- User PnL
- -$214.05
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $5.49K
- Potential payout
- $10.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $2.92K
- Potential payout
- $8.34K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $7.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$785.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- User PnL
- -$206.53
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $443.43
- Potential payout
- $4.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$249.3
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $721.42
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$151.14
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $615.05
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$11.05
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.6%
- Current value
- $675.28
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $478.06
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $15.84
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $997
- Potential profit
- $997
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $351.41
- Potential payout
- $896.45
- Potential profit
- $545.04
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- -$226.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $823.99
- Potential profit
- $823.99
- User PnL
- -$139.08
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $275.95
- Potential payout
- $698.61
- Potential profit
- $422.66
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$67.57
No position
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $484.77
- Potential payout
- $687.61
- Potential profit
- $202.85
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $85.95
Yes position
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $168.35
- Potential payout
- $387
- Potential profit
- $218.66
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.3%
- Current value
- $199.58
- Potential payout
- $331.25
- Potential profit
- $131.67
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- $62.27
Yes position
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $222
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.03
- Potential profit
- $267.03
- User PnL
- -$121.18
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$46.81
No position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $68.9
- Potential payout
- $115.8
- Potential profit
- $46.9
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $14.85
MIBR position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.99
- Potential profit
- $111.99
- User PnL
- -$82.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $137.4K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $116.6K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.69K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.98K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.67K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.05K
Yes position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.96K
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.53K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.44K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.18K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.68K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.54K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.37K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.65K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.56K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.01K
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.72K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.37K
No position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.06K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.23K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.17K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.04K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 79.1% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 47.1% 200 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 57.1% 185.94 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 54.1% 267.45 shares
- Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 55% 9.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 0.6% 1,573.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 1,573 shares
- Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 46% 72 shares
- Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 53% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 0.8% 800 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 13.6% 225 shares