0x05Ac64dC0cB3628Cdc6C3C03f30287C322C58497-1782756699467

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.23
Potential profit: $53.23
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.47
Potential profit: $44.47
User PnL: -$3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $33.89
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.15
Potential profit: $33.15
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.14
Potential profit: $29.14
User PnL: -$2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$3.72

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $21.14
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$3.41

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$2.52

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $16.76
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.24

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.65
Potential profit: $14.65
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.22
Potential profit: $12.22
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $8.75
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.8
Potential profit: $7.8
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.92

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET