Polymarket Trader

transformer4

0x05ae49d646bbb94a4a91aa291fcfc9c8c2785bdf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.17
Realized PnL: $26.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $28.55
Potential payout: $29.21
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $12.47
Potential payout: $12.51
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.99
User PnL: -$4.97

No position

Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $5.66
User PnL: -$4.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 'Kaiju No. 8' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Vitality position

IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. Astralis

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Thunder position

Clippers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Mirra Andreeva position

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will CA Banfield win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

1. FC Union Berlin position

Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Formulation Gaming position

Valorant: Formulation Gaming vs LEO (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

No 95.5% 5.24 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?

Yes 97% 8.25 shares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

No 99% 10.1 shares
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

No 94% 17.02 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

No 95.9% 12.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 13?

No 99.5% 30.16 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 13?

No 98% 10.2 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 97.5% 25.89 shares
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva 82% 3.64 shares
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea

Sorana Cirstea 98.2% 4.07 shares
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskova

Linda Noskova 95% 4.2 shares
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rafael Jodar 96.4% 9.33 shares