Polymarket Trader

zeraphy

0x05bac18a10fad6d59150c65eab9ff286bd817bd2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $200.41
Realized PnL: $310.03
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $15.23
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $102.48
Potential payout: $999.76
Potential profit: $897.29
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.55
Potential profit: $480.55
User PnL: -$99.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$7.17

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $71.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $66.99
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.34
Potential profit: $74.34
User PnL: -$19.81

Under position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.9
Potential profit: $31.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.8
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.79

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,050 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Under 31.4% 31.9 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 49% 51.02 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 76 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 73 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 926.76 shares
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Yes 20.6% 480.55 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 3.8% 222.22 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Down 26.6% 74.34 shares