Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Polymarket Trader
ernest955indie
0x05c0fd83f98c8af07416c5e9ee887df0f8701afa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.73
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Inter Milan position
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Inter Milan position
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Trump post 160-179 times on Truth March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
2025 March hottest on record?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 39% 81 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 44 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 27% 19 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 74 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes 4.2% 75 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 81% 48 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.8% 40 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.8% 40 shares