No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.4K
- Potential profit
- $27.4K
- User PnL
- -$7.69K
Polymarket Trader
whatdoucare
0x05d6da281085585546de91a11dce8aec91ef3d2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.08
- Realized PnL
- $225.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $47.08
- Potential payout
- $409.41
- Potential profit
- $362.33
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$152.92
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.72
- Potential profit
- $180.72
- User PnL
- -$150
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 23% 4,346.46 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 46% 687.27 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 52.3% 9,564.01 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 50.4% 1,786.94 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 49.7% 509.61 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 50% 500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 70% 300 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.5% 729.45 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 48.9% 409.41 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 67% 447.76 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 83% 180.72 shares