Polymarket Trader

jklsjdwoqejasdf

0x05dfd81903aae6f5caa20e1c1dd1d472728a882d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.74K
Realized PnL: $59.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $32.92K
Potential payout: $32.93K
Potential profit: $16.47
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $10.2K
User PnL: -$118.33

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.42K
Potential profit: $6.42K
User PnL: -$17.05

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $780.36
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$465.49

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $36.92
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279
Potential profit: $279
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.34
Potential profit: $137.34
User PnL: -$1.59

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.48
Potential profit: $94.48
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.95
Potential profit: $36.95
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.52K

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $14.94K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $857.49

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.35

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $695.71

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.55

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.15

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.77

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.72

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.14

No position

Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.49

Yes position

Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.79

No position

Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.64

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.72

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.9

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 82.4% 82.89 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 40% 3,604 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 33% 3,604 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Yes 28.8% 706.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 27% 2,037.04 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 12.6% 3,608.7 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 79.7% 18 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 80.9% 47 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 45.7% 30 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 1,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 64.1% 43 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 64.1% 300 shares