No position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $74.58
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Polymarket Trader
Probablito
0x05dfda7a32fdd1f0607b3087f841b358e6078fd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.47
- Realized PnL
- -$0.58
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $20.3
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $11.83
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?No 18% 83.33 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?No 98.5% 20.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 18% 1.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 70% 1.43 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 69% 17.39 shares