Polymarket Trader

DonaldTrumpst

0x05e1b37cd3c1ecd3e83026846382b9137861c6b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.62K
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.87K
Potential profit: $11.87K
User PnL: -$273

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.85K
User PnL: -$639.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.85K
User PnL: -$390.99

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $10.37K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$420.87

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $787.83
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.06K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$219.16

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $799.57
Potential payout: $11.85K
Potential profit: $11.05K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$503.42

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $147.92
Potential payout: $11.83K
Potential profit: $11.69K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$65.08

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $195.25
Potential payout: $11.83K
Potential profit: $11.64K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$88.75

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $337.25
Potential payout: $11.83K
Potential profit: $11.5K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $124.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $4.21K
Potential payout: $11.8K
Potential profit: $7.59K
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $9.78K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $925.92

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $698.72
Potential payout: $11.74K
Potential profit: $11.04K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$154.27

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $641.03
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.49

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $308.67

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.85

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.69

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.26

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $86.84

No position

Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.27

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.81

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.31

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.1

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.86

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.83

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.05

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

No position

Will Zama launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Democratic sweep?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 602.88 shares
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 425 shares
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 2,375 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 11,833.33 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 11,833.33 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 11,869.57 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 11,833.33 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 11,848.48 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 11,851.85 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 11,743.25 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 11,847.06 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 11,748.71 shares