Polymarket Trader

pianoman22

0x05e6178e88a0d99dd689005493932f823ddafd84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.68
Realized PnL: $468.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.03
Potential profit: $471.03
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.88
Potential profit: $444.88
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $415.49
Potential profit: $402.81
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$7.33

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.32
Potential profit: $324.32
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Israel strike 0 countries in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.44
Potential profit: $289.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $231.31
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.59
Potential payout: $224.78
Potential profit: $192.19
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $139.63
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $137.93
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.21
Potential profit: $127.21
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.29
Potential profit: $115.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.84
Potential profit: $100.84
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.43
Potential profit: $90.43
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.66
Potential profit: $78.66
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.92
Potential profit: $77.92
User PnL: -$12

Alexander Bublik position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.82
Potential profit: $77.82
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

Yes position

Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 51.55 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 149.25 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 238.1 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 78.95 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka 21% 38.1 shares
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 37.4% 21.41 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 8.7% 115.29 shares
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 6.1% 163.93 shares
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 3.7% 324.32 shares