Polymarket Trader

Cal800

0x05ede65980909056e407a42ddf0bf3a9b5d4bf70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.15K
Realized PnL: $6.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.8%
Current value: $4.04K
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $311
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $171.55

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.7%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $987.74
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$480.63

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $146.73
Potential payout: $154.69
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.33

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $1.66
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $966.56

Yes position

Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.34

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.27

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.64

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.66

Yes position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.87

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.3

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.4

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.31

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.12

No position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.56

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.01

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.05

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.1

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $168.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.92

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.46

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.51

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 94.9% 1.05 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.2% 2.92 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.1% 10 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 1,837.11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95.2% 2.74 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 82% 739.13 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.3% 636 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 82% 100 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 82% 850 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 90% 594 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 81.9% 140 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 81.9% 244 shares