Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$755
Polymarket Trader
p3eFbv0H3b
0x060361681d73ef77e07105a3d9fefc26bec78f62
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $203.85
- Realized PnL
- $5.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$151.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $575.51
- Potential profit
- $575.51
- User PnL
- -$85.02
No position
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.53
- Potential profit
- $323.53
- User PnL
- -$193.38
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.19
- Potential profit
- $318.19
- User PnL
- -$100.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.78
- Potential profit
- $315.78
- User PnL
- -$63.16
No position
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.72
- Potential profit
- $307.72
- User PnL
- -$133.48
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.55
- Potential profit
- $293.55
- User PnL
- -$15.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.88
- Potential profit
- $269.88
- User PnL
- -$119.97
No position
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.03
- Potential profit
- $240.03
- User PnL
- -$62.78
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.99
- Potential profit
- $229.99
- User PnL
- -$18.96
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.75
- Potential profit
- $227.75
- User PnL
- -$34.71
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Current value
- $53.01
- Potential payout
- $224.13
- Potential profit
- $171.12
- Multiplier
- 4.23x
- User PnL
- -$101.14
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.34
- Potential profit
- $207.34
- User PnL
- -$23.8
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $18.39
- Potential payout
- $190.58
- Potential profit
- $172.19
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.44
- Potential profit
- $184.44
- User PnL
- -$7.83
Tsitsipas position
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.31
- Potential profit
- $180.31
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.7
- Potential profit
- $177.7
- User PnL
- -$87.46
Yes position
Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.47
- Potential profit
- $172.47
- User PnL
- -$15.26
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 6 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.2
- Potential profit
- $168.2
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.91
- Potential profit
- $164.91
- User PnL
- -$107.29
No position
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $132.45
- Potential payout
- $158.72
- Potential profit
- $26.27
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $20.65
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $157.89
- User PnL
- -$66.93
No position
Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.22
- Potential profit
- $156.22
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $943.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $679.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $407.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.31
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.85
Yes position
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.1
Yes position
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.61
Yes position
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.15
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.05
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.38
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.33
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.72
Yes position
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2.5 and 2.75 million views in the first week?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.63
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.57
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.28
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.46
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.8
No position
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 29.8% 441.71 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 98.4% 149.24 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 200 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 100 shares
- Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 99.8% 76.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 0.3% 758.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 3.4% 758.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 99.9% 1,792.74 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes 0.4% 630.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 99.9% 99.98 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes 80% 72.5 shares