Polymarket Trader

Rio166

0x06065746a6ec9bd1b0c0500bbfd54a6405a55035

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.9
Realized PnL: -$76.06
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $973.13
Potential profit: $973.13
User PnL: -$30.26

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $35.43
Potential payout: $545
Potential profit: $509.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $15.8
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $13.25
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

No 20% 25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 8% 62.5 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 16% 80 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Yes 1.2% 655.13 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Yes 6% 1,000 shares