Polymarket Trader

kryptocial

0x0608d6cb89c8453eda01c28195763ea76f13ff08

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.18
Realized PnL: -$21.67
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$15.4

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $265
User PnL: -$10.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $14.3
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $205.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$36.3

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.87
Potential profit: $149.87
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $23.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $101.88
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$51.88

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $54.25
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $5.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.47
Potential profit: $26.47
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$4.64

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.27

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 145 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 400 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 9.1% 549.96 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 10.9% 777.31 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 12.9% 777.32 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 34% 26.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 40% 25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 60% 50 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 73% 68.49 shares