Polymarket Trader

0x061Fb42d08703A1bc7BCa00508c2794889099581-1769425068269

0x061fb42d08703a1bc7bca00508c2794889099581

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.32
Realized PnL: $19.66
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.69K
Potential profit: $21.69K
User PnL: -$430.67

Yes position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $893.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $692.31
Potential profit: $692.31
User PnL: -$45

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $11.18
Potential payout: $406.45
Potential profit: $395.27
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $356.94
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $327.27
Potential profit: $323.84
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $297.45
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $290.32
Potential profit: $284.37
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.97
Potential profit: $157.97
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.94
Potential profit: $152.94
User PnL: -$12.6

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.67
Potential profit: $146.67
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.57
Potential profit: $128.57
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $24.19
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $88.31
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $15.19

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.34
Potential profit: $99.34
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $76.6
Potential profit: $72.8
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $75.44
Potential profit: $63.75
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.47
Potential profit: $69.47
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $69.23
Potential profit: $59.78
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $32.73
Potential profit: $29.45
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.59
Potential profit: $31.59
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.55
Potential profit: $24.55
User PnL: -$2.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 32% 11.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Down 38% 4.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Down 40% 4.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Down 8% 22.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 28% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 18% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 31% 11.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 63% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 36% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 16% 16.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 87% 5.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 22% 16.36 shares