Polymarket Trader

noovd

0x063aeee10fbfd55b6def10da28e87a601e7deb4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.65K
Realized PnL: $679.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $4.63K
User PnL: -$866.75

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$730.51

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $7.27
User PnL: $720.83

Yes position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$138.47

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $666.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $333.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $216.5

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $450
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $550
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $100

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $535.64
Potential payout: $535.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $99.47

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $184.82
Potential payout: $185.1
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $55.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.69K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.75K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.25K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.24K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.33K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.66K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.27K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Yes 0.1% 4,500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Yes 0.1% 4,500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Yes 0.2% 2,170.23 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 59.7% 561.47 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

No 32% 1,446.23 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

No 31% 53.3 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 35% 1,000 shares
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Yes 12% 1,153.91 shares
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Yes 43.4% 164.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Yes 0.2% 4,300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Yes 0.1% 1,858.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Yes 0.1% 4,500 shares