Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $127.78
- Potential payout
- $149.45
- Potential profit
- $21.67
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Polymarket Trader
Arand
@Brunonascimemt1
0x064e2e626e469f0d7f96fc69a4e7109581d361de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.31
- Realized PnL
- $102.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $37.51
- Potential payout
- $39.58
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.11
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 149.45 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No 96% 39.58 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.1% 4.08 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90.1% 175.36 shares
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes 71% 11.27 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 92% 109.46 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 101 shares
- Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No 80% 9.71 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 42% 18.51 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 95% 101 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 87.4% 20.94 shares
- Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes 88.3% 19.82 shares