No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $28.16K
- Potential payout
- $30.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Polymarket Trader
LeftieFTW
0x066a7727f53124db18aa963f900bb95b36f7550d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.17K
- Realized PnL
- $57.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$183.95
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$753.99
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $594.83
- Potential profit
- $594.83
- User PnL
- -$306.51
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$86.8
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.44
- Potential profit
- $103.44
- User PnL
- -$11.38
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.37
- Potential profit
- $56.37
- User PnL
- -$35.09
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.2
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $1.88
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39K
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19K
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
No position
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will the AP call the election on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Biden drop out on July 21?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
TikTok banned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No 93.2% 2.15 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No 96% 2.08 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No 96.9% 1.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 1,939.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 59% 2,659.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 75% 666.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 59% 560 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 999 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 9,410 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 95% 9,135.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77.9% 3,977.37 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 83% 3,500 shares