Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0x066C34A5443FD0044428D55f2d63528fc6B9791F-1760306077585
0x066c34a5443fd0044428d55f2d63528fc6b9791f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.58
- Realized PnL
- $78.08
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $35.01
- Potential payout
- $569.29
- Potential profit
- $534.28
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157
- Potential profit
- $157
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.5
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- User PnL
- -$22.64
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $113.92
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.98
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 16% 141.5 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 8.8% 569.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes 62% 71.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.3% 120.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 36.3% 55.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 1.9% 1,052.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 29.5% 101.85 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 54.4% 55.15 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 34% 58.82 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No 84% 17.05 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?No 99.9% 43.97 shares