Polymarket Trader

ep1phany

0x067e00a03e445c78c73c7b18589e54a829fb0d0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.12
Realized PnL: $663.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.8
Potential profit: $491.8
User PnL: -$300

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $161.29
User PnL: -$100

No position

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.2
Potential profit: $11.2
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $2.99
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.82
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.84
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $1.53
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.47

No position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.65

Soon-Woo Kwon position

Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwon

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.35

Yes position

Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.52

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

No position

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

New York Yankees position

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Yes 89% 1.53 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83% 1.58 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 74% 2.94 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves 22% 1,090.95 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves 23% 1,090.96 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Thunder 99.9% 258.22 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Thunder 85% 258.22 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 15% 1,498 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 19% 1,498 shares
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 61% 491.8 shares
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?

No 99.9% 588.23 shares
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 90% 1.14 shares