Polymarket Trader

Sgarrufone

0x06939ebe396f7b6ad212972a47cc0509fdfb522d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.51
Realized PnL: $193.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.17
Potential profit: $108.17
User PnL: -$37.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $28.94
Potential profit: $22.43
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$3.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $2.9
User PnL: -$0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6
Potential profit: $1.6
User PnL: -$0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55
Potential profit: $1.55
User PnL: -$0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: -$0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Up 33% 28.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 33% 28.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Down 31% 30.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 31.6% 30.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 62% 26.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 32% 29.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 59% 27.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 31% 30.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 33% 28.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 61% 27.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 31% 30.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Up 66% 25.27 shares