No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $395.38
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $679.7
Polymarket Trader
iurii
0x069fd687310c0af8849c4d53fa93696f2385b749
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.75K
- Realized PnL
- $4.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $955.95
- Potential profit
- $955.95
- User PnL
- -$285.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.44
- Potential profit
- $331.44
- User PnL
- -$155.69
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $74.46
- Potential payout
- $316.85
- Potential profit
- $242.39
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $11.59
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.57
- Potential profit
- $312.57
- User PnL
- -$180.12
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $30.21
- Potential payout
- $251.74
- Potential profit
- $221.53
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$69.79
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.48
- Potential profit
- $242.48
- User PnL
- -$156.74
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$72.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.48
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.11
Yes position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.45
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.35
Yes position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.32
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.67
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.53
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.63
No position
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.25
Yes position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.56
Yes position
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.67
Yes position
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.2
Yes position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.72
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.32
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.09
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43
No position
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.12
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes 19.8% 316.85 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes 64% 180 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes 64% 50 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes 64% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes 64% 100 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 62% 290.32 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 54% 59.04 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 14.36 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 75% 8 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 39.7% 251.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No 59% 50.85 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?No 47% 42.55 shares