Polymarket Trader

impermanentgain

0x06a04fa51893cf7e28a2c3907816d0b6e875cae1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.84K
Realized PnL: $2.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $574.39
Potential payout: $809
Potential profit: $234.61
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $56.63

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49.1%
Current value: $385.04
Potential payout: $785
Potential profit: $399.96
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $228.04

No position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $574
Potential payout: $574
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.57

Evansville Aces position

Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508
Potential profit: $508
User PnL: -$447.04

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $304
Potential payout: $304
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $45.9

Under position

Siena Saints vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 135.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $219
User PnL: -$49.71

No position

Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$16.63

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $98
User PnL: -$75.46

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.25
Potential profit: $87.25
User PnL: -$29.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mount McKinley" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$17.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $23.66
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will John Oliver say "Our Main Story Tonight" on Last Week Tonight?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Blowout" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.48

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.54

Yes position

Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.19

No position

Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.74

Penn State Nittany Lions position

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $80.92

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.74

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $44.55

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $37.36

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.19

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.64

Yes position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

No position

Honus Wagner card sale >$7 million?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $17.25

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.17

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win Best Original Score at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

Yes position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.1%
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.02

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $9.57

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.11

No position

Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.39

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

No 68% 50 shares
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

No 68% 15 shares
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

No 68% 354 shares
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

No 68% 300 shares
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

No 76% 719 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?

No 0.4% 639 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?

No 0.5% 673 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?

No 0.5% 137 shares
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No 83% 314 shares
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No 83% 337 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?

No 33% 1,449 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 64% 809 shares