Polymarket Trader

obamasbbc

0x06c2698abdc64530ad5a5be1b5d8dd24e7eb612a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $644.47
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.2K
Potential profit: $46.2K
User PnL: -$618.77

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $17.18K
User PnL: -$566.81

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.84K
Potential profit: $13.84K
User PnL: -$989.42

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $193.32
Potential payout: $12.47K
Potential profit: $12.28K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $31.18

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.66K
Potential profit: $10.66K
User PnL: -$645.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.81K
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.78K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $9.73K
User PnL: -$818.81

Yes position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.15
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.16K
User PnL: -$516.25

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39K
Potential profit: $3.39K
User PnL: -$459.93

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$2.52K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$317.78

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985.1
Potential profit: $985.1
User PnL: -$108.79

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777
Potential profit: $777
User PnL: -$54.39

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $658.35
Potential profit: $658.35
User PnL: -$20.45

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.98
Potential profit: $476.98
User PnL: -$85.86

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$207.5

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $166
User PnL: -$51.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $436.28

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.62

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.85

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.99

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.21

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.56

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$381.1

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$844.12

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.39K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 10,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 195 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 9,574.33 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 255.65 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 7,896.82 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 11,331.36 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 10,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 7,774.63 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 12,472.12 shares
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 598.06 shares
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 3,333 shares
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,630.75 shares