Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $277.79
- Potential payout
- $14.25K
- Potential profit
- $13.97K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Polymarket Trader
cheesymm
0x06d248d4f372601d24192284bff919a2c05dfb27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.58K
- Realized PnL
- $438.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.07K
- Potential profit
- $10.07K
- User PnL
- -$72.5
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $310.7
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.78K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $25.03
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $605.35
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 4.25x
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $62.15
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$366.25
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $803.99
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$158.64
Texas Tech Red Raiders position
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$749.77
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $225.01
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 6.51x
- User PnL
- $7.26
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $167.4
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$31.79
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $320.9
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$21.59
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.53
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$196.64
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $44.07
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $971.48
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $209.56
- Potential payout
- $946.11
- Potential profit
- $736.55
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $80.66
- Potential payout
- $849.1
- Potential profit
- $768.44
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$54.47
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $52.73
- Potential payout
- $738.57
- Potential profit
- $685.84
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $51.89
- Potential payout
- $691.85
- Potential profit
- $639.96
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $102.85
- Potential payout
- $665.71
- Potential profit
- $562.85
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$5.34
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$228
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $28.98
- Potential payout
- $531.71
- Potential profit
- $502.73
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $213.14
- Potential payout
- $526.27
- Potential profit
- $313.13
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$77.13
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.93
- Potential profit
- $507.93
- User PnL
- -$66.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.5
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.83
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $41.92
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.4
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $22.96
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.97
Connecticut Huskies position
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.05
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Iowa Hawkeyes position
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 33% 50 shares
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes 32% 7.02 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 57% 100 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.1% 391.6 shares
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No 20.2% 320 shares
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No 27% 292 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9.1% 363.6 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.2% 302.72 shares