gwag

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $641.56
Potential payout: $641.88
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $131.56

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.91
Potential profit: $268.91
User PnL: -$198.99

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $201.14
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $26.14
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.41
Potential profit: $222.41
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $219.67
Potential payout: $219.78
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $19.67

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $168
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.05
Potential profit: $131.05
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $99.35
Potential payout: $129.87
Potential profit: $30.52
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.07
Potential profit: $122.07
User PnL: -$76.95

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.55
Potential profit: $119.55
User PnL: -$70

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $19.64
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.6

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$50

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.57
Potential profit: $93.57
User PnL: -$52.4

Aryna Sabalenka position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.08
Potential profit: $88.08
User PnL: -$71

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.21
Potential profit: $87.21
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.41
Potential profit: $84.41
User PnL: -$52.34

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$1.52

England position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.39
Potential profit: $71.39
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.18
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $61.73
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.84

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.15

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.31

France position

France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.15

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.72

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.54

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.95

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.07

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.68

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.61

No position

Lula out before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.6

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.25

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.66

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?